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Models: Managerial remuneration - Risk and incentive tradeoff

 

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1       Introduction

 

This text presents models and proofs of the classic trade-off between risk and incentives regarding the remuneration of managers by corporate owners. The presentation is rigorous. If you prefer a more intuitive discussion of the problem click here. Otherwise stay put. The models of this text are believed to be good representatives of the formal principal-agency literature of the hidden action type. The analysis follows Tirole [1988, page 51-55] and part 1 in Hart and Holmström [1987]. The text proceeds as follows: Section 2 outlines the typical agency model framework its assumptions and notational apparatus. Then in section 3, the four agency models are presented. Note that footnotes e.g. '[2]' can be viewed by clicking them.

 

 

2       The General Framework

 

Model Problem:

 

The problem is to study incentive and insurance (risk) issues between a manager [the agent] and some shareholders [the principals]. The shareholders are owners of a firm and they have hired the manager to run it. Results are generated the usual way by changing the underlying assumptions.

 

General Assumptions:

 

The following assumptions are part of all the following models unless otherwise specified.

 

1)   Shareholders are risk neutral.[1] For a graphic explanation of the different risk concepts click here.

2)   Shareholders objective is to maximize the firms expected profit.

3)   There is only one manager.

4)   The manager’s work effort (e) is unobservable by the shareholders (asymmetric information).

5)   Firm profit ∏(e,q), manager wage w(∏), and manager utility U(w,e) are common knowledge.

 

Neither Tirole nor Hart & Holmström explicitly state the following assumptions. However, it is believed to be important to state them explicitly. If not, one may easily get the wrong impression that the predictions of the models are more robust than they actually are. Experienced economists know this but outsiders do not.

 

6)   All agents (the manager and the principals) maximize utility. A trivial, tautological assumption. Says that agents want to get more of what they like.

7)   All agents are perfectly rational. An unrealistic but strongly simplifying assumption. Says that agents grasp all the information in the model and they have the ability to calculate the optimal decisions instantaneously and costless.

8)   Time is static. Everything is as if the world only existed in one timeless period.

 

 

The models include a many other assumptions, some made explicit below. However, for expositional reasons they will remain implicit.

 

Notation and Further Assumptions:

 

·      e is work effort by the manager, and e take on intervals e Î [emin, emax] = E.

·      q is uncertainty or state of nature affecting firm profits independent of manager’s work effort e. Also qÎQ, where Q is the distribution space. Q is assumed to be common knowledge.

·      ∏ = ∏(e,q) is random firm profit. Assume ∏’e>0. This assumption is crucial in all agency theory. Because ∏ depend on q, ∏ is itself stochastic. Assume ∏ Î [∏min, ∏max] = P.

·      w(∏) is the manager’s wage function or salary scheme. Presumably w’>0 (This will be demonstrated to be the conclusive characteristic of the optimal wage function in the general agency model, case 4 below). In the principal-agent literature w(∏) is also interpreted as the wage contract that the shareholders design. It is assumed that there exists a wage scheme space W, wÎW.

·      U0 is the reservation utility. This is, the expected utility the manager believes he can get in a job elsewhere, less the cost of searching. In other words, the reservation utility is the utility he could get by redeploying his resources at the best alternative use.

·      F(e) is the manager’s disutility from effort. Assume Fe ≥0, F’’ee >0, F’(0)=0, and F’(∞)=∞.

·      U(w,e) = u[w(∏(e,q))] - F(e) is the utility function of the manager. Assume U’w >0, U’’ww<0. This assumption implies that the manager is risk averse. Note that the utility function is separable in income and effort. This simplifies the analysis.

·      f(∏;e) is the density function or mass function for the stochastic firm profit ∏ given the effort level {e}.

 

           

The Model:

 

Shareholders expected payoff: πSha = E[∏(e,q) - w(∏(e,q))] = [∏(e,q) - w(∏(e,q))]f(∏;e)d∏

                                                                                q                                                {∏ÎP}

 

Managers expected payoff:        πMan = E[U(w(∏(e,q)),e)] = u(w(∏(e,q))f(∏;e)d∏ - F(e)

                                                                                  q                             {∏ÎP}

 

The shareholders must design a wage contract w*(.) and pick a effort level e* that maximizes their expected payoff:

 

{w*(.), e*} º argmax  πSha = argmax [∏(e,q) - w(∏(e,q))]f(∏;e)d∏                                (1)

                   {w(.)Î W, eÎE}            {w(.)Î W, eÎE}                                                                                                             

 

subject to,

 

argmax πMan = argmax u(w(∏(e,q)))f(∏;e)d∏ - F(e) ≥ U0, and                                    (IR,2)

{eÎE}                                   {eÎE}                                                                                                                                                

          

u(w(∏(e*,q)))f(∏;e*)d∏ - F(e*) ≥ u(w(∏(e,q)))f(∏;e)d∏ - F(e), " eÎ[emin, emax]    (IC,3)

{∏ÎsP}                                                                 {∏ÎP}                                                                                                             

 

 

The first constraint is called the individual rationality constraint (IR) or individual participation constraint. It states that given the wage contract {w(.)} a rational agent will require the utility from the effort level {e} that maximizes his utility to be at least equal to his reservation utility {U0}. This constraint is comparable to the volunteer trade assumption in the perfect market economy. Standing alone it cannot prevent the problem from reaching first best. The second restriction is the incentive compatibility (IC) constraint. It states that given the observable wage contract {w(.)}, the unobservable level of effort chosen by the principal {e*} must maximize the utility of the agent over all possible levels of effort {"eÎ[emin, emax]} for the agent to have an incentive to actual conduct that level of effort. Without going into detail this restriction embed the moral hazard issues of the model. The above model provides a general framework for the corporate principal agent problem. The following studies this framework in four different cases.

 


3       The Basic Models

 

Case 1: The Full Information Case

 

Modified Assumptions

 

1)   The shareholders observe effort {e}. This is, full information or perfect monitoring. Replaces assumption 4 above.

2)   The manager is risk averse. That is, U’’ww < 0.

 

When the shareholders can observe the manager’s effort the problem becomes much more simplified since they can impose any effort level {e} by threatening with severe punishment should the effort order not be obeyed. The incentive compatibility constraint (IC) is therefore not relevant. For simplicity assume e is solved. Then the wage contract becomes the only relevant decision variable. The problem is therefore that the shareholders must design a wage contract w*(.) that maximizes their expected payoff:

 

{w*(.)} º argmax [∏(e,q) - w(∏(e,q))]f(∏;e)d∏                                                           (4)

                      {w(.)ÎW}                                                                                                                                                          

 

subject to,

 

argmax u(w(∏(e,q)))f(∏;e)d∏ - F(e) ≥U0                                                               (IR,5)

            {eÎE}                                                                                                                                                                                  

 

 

The individual rationality constraint must be binding. If not the shareholders would have incentive to lower the salary {w(∏)} until it becomes binding to save on their own cost of management services. The Lagrangian may now be formed.

 

L = {[∏(e,q) - w(∏(e,q))]f(∏(e,q);e) + l[u(w(∏(e,q))) - F(e) - U0]f(∏(e,q);e)}d∏

  {∏ÎP}

 

F.O.C. with respect to w:         f(∏(e,q);e) + lu’w(w(∏(e,q)))f(∏(e,q);e) = 0

                                                                                                                                       <=>

                                                                 u’w(w(∏(e,q))) = 1/l                                        (6)

 

Q.E.D.

 

So the optimal wage structure is independent of profit. In other words, the agent is given a constant wage in order to be fully insured. The optimal choice of effort level may be found by taking the derivative with respect to e. Analysis is omitted. The intuition is that if the shareholders are risk neutral and the manager is risk averse, and then all the risk should be borne by the risk neutral part because he can bear the risk costless. Furthermore, it does not create any incentive problem because in this model version the effort level is observable. Threatening with severe punishment can impose the efficient level of effort. This full information solution is a first best solution. It does not deviate from what would be obtained in the perfect market economy model. The “mechanism” that ensures first best is not the market mechanism but the existence of an omniscient planner [the principal or the shareholders]. He has all the information necessary to calculate the first best solution, and the powers [perfect monitoring and punishment abilities] to ensure that it is actually carried out. The assumption of symmetric information on effort level does not fit many real world situations. It would probably not be wrong to assume that most principal-agent relations of the shareholder-manager type imply a significant degree of asymmetric information. This is the issue in the following three models.

 

Case 2: Asymmetric information, and risk neutral manager.

 

Modified Assumptions

 

1)   The shareholders cannot observe effort {e}. Back to assumption 4 above.

2)   The manager is risk neutral. This is, U’w > 0, and U’’ww = 0.

3)   The utility function below is now assumed to be measuring money equivalents. This implies that utility can be measured cardinally. The reason for this assumption is that we need to make the manager indifferent between receiving profit or utility.

 

Modified Notation and Further Assumptions

 

·      U(w,e) = w(∏(e,q)) - F(e) is the utility function of the manager. This utility function is clearly risk neutral since U’’ww = 0. This is new!

 

Now the manager’s utility is:     U(w,e) = w(∏(e,q)) - F(e)     

                                                                                                                                       <=>

                                                           w(∏(e,q)) = U(w,e) + F(e)                                    (7)

 

 

With this manager-utility function, the IR constraint becomes:

 

                                                    w(∏(e,q))f(∏;e)d∏ - F(e) ≥ U0

                                                                {eÎE}

 

and it must be binding. Otherwise the manager could just decrease the wage until it becomes binding. The IR restriction may therefore be written:

 

                                         U(w,e)f(∏;e)d∏ = U0                                                                                          (IR,8)

                                                                {eÎE}

 

Then the shareholder’s payoff function becomes:

 

πSha = E[∏(e,q) - w(∏(e,q))] = [∏(e,q) - w(∏(e,q))]f(∏;e)d∏

                q                                              {∏ÎP}

                                                                                                            (by substitution of (7) above)

                                                = [∏(e,q) - U(w,e) - F(e)]f(∏;e)d∏

                                                                {∏ÎP}

                                                                                                                                                (by substitution of (8) above)

                                                = [∏(e,q) - U0 - F(e)]f(∏;e)d∏

                                                                {∏ÎP}

 

                                                = [∏(e,q)]f(∏;e)d∏ - U0 - F(e)                    

                                                                {∏ÎP}

 

Solving this with respect to the optimal effort decision {e*} yields the same first best outcome as under the full information case 1 above, since only the IR restriction has been used. This is, for given w:

 

                          {e*} = argmax[ [∏(e,q)]f(∏;e)d∏ - U0 - F(e)]                                     (9)

                                                          {eÎE}

 

The following demonstrates that a wage contract making the agent the residual claimant of the firm’s profit gives the manager the full incentive to maximize the principals' profit. This will result in a solution identical to the first best, full information model. The agent may be made a residual claimant on the firms profit if he is offered to lease the firm at an annual price of:[2]

 

                                   p = argmax[ ∏(e,q)f(∏;e)d∏ - U0 - F(e)]                                 (10)

                                                                {eÎE}

 

Note that this is the value that maximizes the shareholder’s value under full information. The question is now; does the manager accept this lease? The answer is YES! His payoff function when he has to pay the lease p and has the right to the firms profit is:

 

                                 πMan = [∏(e,q)f(∏;e) - F(e) - p]d∏         (Note! Use assumption 3 above)

                                                        {∏ÎP}

                                                          <--firm profit--><-work disu.-><- lease->

 

                                 = [∏(e,q)f(∏;e) - F(e) - {∏(e,q)f(∏;e) - U0 - F(e)}]d∏ = U0          (11)

                                                  {∏ÎP}

 

Q.E.D.

 

Since the manager receives his reservation utility he accepts. The shareholders and the manager get exactly the same payoffs as under full information. However, the situation is very different. In this model the agent must bear the entire risk in order to have the full incentive to maximize firm profit. This strategy was not optimal in case 1, because the manager was risk averse. Neither was it necessary for inducement of incentives, because of the special powers of the principal [perfect monitoring and punishment]. In this case, our manager is risk neutral and is therefore capable of bearing the risk costlessly. This is fortunate, because the principals have no other ways [imperfect monitoring and punishment powers] to induce the optimal solution than to make the agent the residual claimant of the firm’s profit.

 

            The nice feature with the model above is that it induces optimal resource allocation without having an omniscient principal dictating the actions. In this respect, it is like the market mechanism. Unfortunately, it assumes risk neutral agents. This might be reasonable if the agent is rich relative to the size of the firm profit. However, this is not a fact of real world life. Among the private enterprises most GDP value is made in big corporations with profits that are many times higher than their manager’s salaries. The next two models analyze more realistic situations with risk averse managers.

 

Case 3: Asymmetric information, and an infinitely risk averse manager.

 

Modified Assumptions

 

1)   The manager is infinitely risk averse. That is, U’w > 0, and U’’ww <<< 0.

2)   The shareholders cannot observe effort {e}. This is asymmetric information.

3)   For simplicity assume that the distribution of the profit ∏ = ∏(e,q) is such that ∏Î[∏min,∏max]=P, and that the distribution borders are independent of the effort level. We still have that ∏’e >0, but this is so only when we look at the mean value of the profit.

 

This case turns out to be the simplest in terms of mathematics. An implication of infinitely risk aversion is that the manager will avoid risk at any cost in mean return. However, the agent is capable to make a choice between two risky payoffs. To be specific, the agent always prefers a random wage w1 and a level of effort e1 to another pair (w2,e2) if min(w1) > min(w2) or min(w1) = min(w2) and e1 < e2. Note that in the infinite risk averse case the mean value is not a relevant decision variable. Now, look at the manager’s payoff function replicated below for convenience and consider assumption 3 above:

 

Manager’s expected payoff: πMan = E[U(w(∏(e,q)),e)] = u(w(∏(e,q))f(∏;e)d∏ - F(e)

                                                                                q                             {∏ÎP}

 

The wage {w} depends on profit {∏} that again depends on effort {e}. However, according to assumption 3, the wage only depends on profit with respect to the mean value, not with respect to the border values {[∏min, ∏max]}. So the minimum wage is independent of work effort. Furthermore, because our utility function {U} only attaches value to the minimum wage, the effort level {e} only affects the managers payoff through the disutility term F(e). Since Fe > 0 the manager will optimize by choosing emin no matter how much his expected salary would increase if he cared to work more than emin. Given this fact the shareholders cannot do better than to give the manager his reservation utility evaluated at emin. The resulting payoffs becomes:

 

Shareholder’s expected payoff: πSha = [∏(emin,q) - w(∏(emin,q))]

 

Manager’s expected payoff:     πMan = u(w(∏(emin,q))) - F(emin) = U0min

 

Q.E.D.